Adam Naamani

GST Rebate, CondoDay and Granville Plan

Housing activity continued to soften in May, with the fewest home sales for the month in two decades outside of May 2020 and the highest resale condo inventory levels in 15 years. Residential sales totaled 2,228, an 18.5% decline from May 2024 and 30.5% below the 10-year seasonal average. The total number of properties listed for sale rose 25.7% year-over-year to a 10-year high of 17,094.

The sales-to-active listings ratio stands at 13.4%, favouring buyers, yet buyers remain hesitant as inventory builds. By property type, the ratio is 10.2% for detached homes, 17.4% for attached, and 14.7% for apartments. Benchmark prices had a modest year-over-year decline with detached homes at $1,997,400 (down 3.2%), apartments at $757,300 (down 2.4%), and townhouses at $1,106,800 (down 3.4%)—the only segment that had a month-over-month price increase at 0.4%.

New condo sales in Greater Vancouver overall were down 84% in Q1 2025, compared to the height of the bull market in Q1 2022, according to Altus Group. It’s a more dire situation in Toronto, Canada’s largest urban center, where new home sales plummeted 72% year-over-year, with only 310 units sold—105 of them condos—the lowest on record! Inventory levels in Toronto surged to 21,363 units, equating to 15 months of supply, well above the balanced market range of 4 to 6 months.

Factors contributing to this downturn include tariff uncertainties, persistent unaffordability, rising unemployment, and migration of prime-aged workers to other provinces. Investor demand has collapsed after making up more than 35% of the market over the past five years. Many sellers still expect peak 2021/22 prices, while buyers are either sidelined or being extremely selective. Year-to-date, sales in 2025 are among the slowest starts in the past decade. Whether the second half of the year brings a meaningful rebound remains to be seen.

CMHC Mortgage Consumer Survey Highlights

CMHC released their 2025 Mortgage Consumer Survey, noting renewals are still the leading mortgage transactions. 12% of respondents were first-time homebuyers, up from 10% in 2024. 35% of these buyers lived with friends or family before purchasing, while 64% rented for an average of 6.3 years prior to buying. Additionally, over a quarter of mortgage consumers have a secondary suite, with about 10% planning to add one.

Gifts or inheritance remained a big component of the down payment, however, there’s a growing concern as more consumers report difficulties in maintaining debt payments (51% in 2025 compared to 42% in 2024). Causes for concern over defaulting were mainly based on economic reasons (cost of living increases, recession fears, increase in interest rates).

Changes to FTHB GST rebate on new housing

The federal government has introduced a new GST rebate to make it easier for first-time home buyers to afford a new home. Announced on May 27, 2025, the First-Time Home Buyers’ GST Rebate allows eligible buyers to recover up to $50,000 in GST on new homes, including those bought from builders, owner-built homes, or co-op housing units. The rebate fully applies to homes priced up to $1 million, with a phased reduction between $1 million and $1.5 million, and no rebate for homes over $1.5 million. To qualify, at least one buyer must meet the first-time buyer criteria and intend to use the home as their primary residence.

BCREA pushes for short-term rental reform

The BC Real Estate Association is calling on the provincial government to revisit and refine its Short-Term Rental Accommodations Act in light of economic impacts, tourism demand, and local community needs. While supporting the goal of increasing long-term rental housing, BCREA recommended the following key changes:

With domestic tourism expected to rise this summer, BCREA argues that thoughtful adjustments to STR regulations are essential to protect both housing goals and BC’s broader economic health. The provincial government hasn’t shown any signs of leniency as the new restrictions aim to crack down on illegal listings. As of May 1, 2025, all short-term rental hosts in B.C. should have registered their listings and received a provincial registration number. To date, more than 20,000 listings have been registered:

CondoDay

Real estate strategist and marketer, Cam Good, held a flash sale on newly built Surrey City Centre condos by slashing prices 25%. It drew in a crowd of around 200, and sold nearly all of the 78 homes available. “We hope more developers are inspired by this program and explore creative ways to help buyers get into the market,” said Good on the bulk flash sale model, a tactic rarely used in today’s high-priced housing market. You can keep an eye on future deals on the CondoDay website here: https://condoday.ca.

Vancouver City Council approves the Granville Street Plan

The Granville Street Plan is a comprehensive 20-year strategy aimed at transforming Granville Street into a vibrant, pedestrian-friendly destination that honors its cultural heritage while promoting economic growth and public safety.